Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-08 4.178307 4.489570 4.823137 5.208989 5.645301 6.126094 6.699745
2025-06-15 3.715592 4.155904 4.659289 5.284821 6.052121 6.977620 8.202670
2025-06-22 3.307021 3.787214 4.357889 5.099471 6.058769 7.290044 9.048439
2025-06-29 3.033087 3.535400 4.150178 4.977423 6.094304 7.604301 9.909342
2025-07-06 2.826662 3.341917 3.987784 4.882399 6.135095 7.907985 10.785212
2025-07-13 2.683953 3.214220 3.893560 4.860238 6.261664 8.336056 11.919944
2025-07-20 2.602161 3.156725 3.883062 4.945753 6.543918 9.027943 13.636155
2025-07-27 2.540409 3.119466 3.893966 5.058014 6.873363 9.839483 15.778849
2025-08-03 2.452853 3.040658 3.839947 5.067378 7.039239 10.399426 17.596782
2025-08-10 2.350313 2.934859 3.739933 4.997253 7.065463 10.712903 18.986021
2025-08-17 2.238229 2.809929 3.604776 4.861836 6.966935 10.779027 19.829617
2025-08-24 2.152566 2.717976 3.512106 4.785310 6.959790 11.015950 21.167745
2025-08-31 2.092584 2.662684 3.474436 4.800322 7.127155 11.653152 23.897062
2025-09-07 2.048775 2.628844 3.467231 4.865089 7.394510 12.559453 27.929918
2025-09-14 1.951420 2.512679 3.328973 4.701893 7.219038 12.469578 28.793385
2025-09-21 1.874704 2.423657 3.227872 4.594279 7.138525 12.582415 30.445142
2025-09-28 1.809171 2.348430 3.144243 4.510371 7.094716 12.772929 32.521399
2025-10-05 1.762961 2.300016 3.099848 4.490787 7.175667 13.281209 36.260293
2025-10-12 1.740996 2.286793 3.109721 4.566326 7.457513 14.361409 43.643677
2025-10-19 1.725109 2.281856 3.132122 4.665355 7.801046 15.705108 54.423285
2025-10-26 1.691322 2.248096 3.106055 4.673608 7.949077 16.542557 63.806977
2025-11-02 1.645488 2.194133 3.044535 4.611775 7.933772 16.889882 70.467992
2025-11-09 1.590725 2.124704 2.954965 4.492199 7.775855 16.761454 73.158185